Propaganda and persuasion: Hungarians look at themselves and Hungary

Lately two fascinating polls were taken. Both dealt with the question of how Hungarians perceive their own and the country’s economic situation and prospects. The results are, at least on the surface, baffling. Or perhaps not. Figyelő, a paper dealing mostly with economic issues, asked Szonda Ipsos to conduct a survey about Hungarians’ state of mind concerning the country’s economic situation and prospects. At the same time those questioned had to answer parallel questions about their own households. Let’s first see what people said about their family’s situation: 13% considered it excellent, 70% good, 7% bad, and 8% terrible. At the same time, when the same people were asked about the economic well being of the country, 0% thought it was excellent, only 8% said it was good, 33% considered it bad, and 53% pronounced it outright terrible.

The other assessment came from Tárki and was even more interesting because it allowed us to look at perceptions over time. By and large, the results were the same: people considered their own situation superior to that of the country as a whole. What I found was surprising in the Tárki results was that Hungarians’ optimism concerning themselves and the country has been declining ever since 2003. One ought to keep in mind that in 2002 the Medgyessy government raised civil servant and employees’ salaries by 50%, a decision which today virtually everybody realizes was a huge mistake, one for which the country has been paying heavily in the last two years. However, between 2002 and 2006 real wages grew by 30% and pensions by 40%. And yet pessimism deepened.

Tárki was also interested in what people think of the coming year. Only 10% thought that life will get better, 37% thought that it would remain the same, and 53% were sure that their living standards would decline. This at a time when things are actually getting better. Tárki also asked people what percent of the Hungarian population they think is poor. The answer was unbelievable: 61%! By objective standards it is estimated to be 15%. So while the respondents think that they themselves are living quite well, for some strange reason they think that almost two-thirds of the population is outright poor.

In trying to account for the negative bias in people’s perception of their present circumstances versus their future circumstances and of their own situation versus that of the country as a whole, I think one has to point to the barrage of "negative-speak." While they themselves don’t notice any terrible hardship, they believe the constant refrain of the opposition and the chorus of economists that the country’s situation is utterly dire. Although it is true that the economy has slowed since the austerity program began and the international economic situation is not helpful, the fact is that there is no economic crisis. However, if people hear nothing but that the end of the world is at hand, people will believe it. Why wouldn’t they? After all, they are no macroeconomic experts.

However, if the above is true, how was it possible that in 2006 the voters didn’t believe the Fidesz slogan that "we live worse than four years ago?" Well, if I am right, they didn’t believe it because they personalized the message; Fidesz said they were supposed to live worse and they knew that wasn’t true. Perhaps Fidesz should have said: "Hungary is in an economic crisis!"

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Hotpaprika
Guest

since 2006 income tax risen 5%, Gas prices big jump up by 30% Inflation 9%, fruit and vegetables prices up 30 to 40% and pay increase only around 4.5 % on average
Taxation and inflation have risen way higher then wages, your figures are not realistic how can you assume Hungary is in not in crisis? They hit the population where they cant escape, my hours at work have increased.. Hello wake up smell the roses, i dont know what planet your referring too..

Viking
Guest

If we are going to speak about the Hungarian economy it is better to limit the examples to those things that effect the Hungarian economy *only*.
Prices on petrol-based products and food items have risen all over the world. As part of that the inflation in Hungary has gone up. Hardly something you can blame any national government for, regardless party-colour?
If those global trends are significant they limit the available space for the national government to play with its few and small financial instruments it still has.

feefe
Guest

everythings hunky dory for you maybe but the truth is the country was robbed blind by the commie jews .Interesting that your pop wanted to put a statute of reagen in HUN for the 56 revolution did he wheres the money he collected for the statute you believe that the ruskies liberated buda in 56 bitch

Bill
Guest
@ Right-Wing Idiots I’m no big fan of the socialists, but you really think that gas and food prices wouldn’t have gone up if Fidesz (or, ha ha, MIEP) had been in power? That somehow, Orban would have waved a magic wand and protected Hungary from paying more for oil, all of which it has to purchase on the world market? How stupid are you? @ feefe Yes, communism didn’t do much for Hungary, but 1. Hungary did a lot better under communism that most (any?) other country/countries, and more importantly, 2. Hungary has had almost 20 years to recover from the effects of communism. In 20 years (1947-1967), Germany managed to rebuild itself completely after World War II (and communism didn’t do nearly as much damage to Hungary as WWII did to Germany), and Ireland (late 1980s-now) went from one of the poorest countries in Western Europe to one of the richest. So, 20 years hence, it’s starting to sound more than a little ridiculous to blame the communists (especially the “commie jews”) for all of Hungary’s current problems. Other countries managed to revamp their economies in less time, so I think the source of the problem must be… Read more »
Hotpaprika
Guest

http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-1131942400352901009
check out this, and this will paint a different perspective.. Truth will set you Free..
Billy Chill out!
The International bankers are behind the Jews and unfrotunatley they have been victims of there own race.. The creation of Israel and control of countries threw international debt is whats causing us harm, instead of blueing about left and Right wing we should be looking at the Puppetier, You honetly think they want Hungarians to get rich or any majority, they want to divide and rule and keep us oppressed so we debate silly blogs like we are currently doing, once you realise this then you have Wisdom and higher consciousness

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